Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 10.795245 12.452692 14.225596 16.256997 18.513924 20.938208 23.732743
2025-05-25 8.545604 10.681421 13.108536 16.050212 19.497352 23.386850 28.084253
2025-06-01 7.042396 9.432511 12.291619 15.921422 20.361469 25.569097 32.088400
2025-06-08 5.819091 8.308058 11.427916 15.555831 20.797724 27.152874 35.352696
2025-06-15 5.065508 7.655200 11.037448 15.674633 21.752542 29.327124 39.345451
2025-06-22 4.382046 6.995683 10.545541 15.577365 22.367547 31.044179 42.777940
2025-06-29 3.910669 6.565005 10.300376 15.754665 23.305702 33.166136 46.757342
2025-07-06 3.516653 6.193959 10.090165 15.938653 24.227952 35.267747 50.747614
2025-07-13 3.256193 5.990523 10.091381 16.399495 25.525960 37.889824 55.483394
2025-07-20 2.988965 5.742907 9.997845 16.700865 26.592752 40.213645 59.868284
2025-07-27 2.681827 5.393157 9.713811 16.688921 27.191463 41.892142 63.402485
2025-08-03 2.279993 4.833923 9.050625 16.048779 26.825449 42.185813 65.007840
2025-08-10 2.004227 4.465218 8.664260 15.811454 27.043227 43.314001 67.819134
2025-08-17 1.742415 4.088027 8.228266 15.458875 27.056000 44.129790 70.192121
2025-08-24 1.539831 3.796692 7.910591 15.270194 27.299360 45.273916 73.049293
2025-08-31 1.333407 3.468905 7.497660 14.889889 27.212498 45.909806 75.167268
2025-09-07 1.217261 3.311945 7.377512 14.993082 27.891360 47.703895 79.018226
2025-09-14 1.087830 3.108178 7.151519 14.894295 28.230126 48.980369 82.121014
2025-09-21 1.003066 2.992447 7.081825 15.063232 29.009050 50.947301 86.296019
2025-09-28 0.926920 2.886068 7.020373 15.239822 29.801542 52.949793 90.562918
2025-10-05 0.884284 2.854507 7.104462 15.684082 31.057776 55.707068 96.034389
2025-10-12 0.829836 2.786161 7.107348 15.974738 32.057363 58.077998 100.957095
2025-10-19 0.753048 2.649182 6.955757 15.963135 32.529413 59.612976 104.613450